Author Topic: Coronavirus Science (facts donít care about your feelings)  (Read 1723 times)

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Offline Shady

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Just wondering what your little p*orn thing is all about.;
The first time I typed **** it displayed it all as asterisks. 
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Offline Shady

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Another scientific heads up.  The average age of somebody dying of the Wuhan coronavirus is older than the average age people die (ie life expectancy).
Anti-herd is the new anti-vaxx.
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Offline Gorgeous Graham

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Another scientific heads up.  The average age of somebody dying of the Wuhan coronavirus is older than the average age people die (ie life expectancy).

So what you're saying is that COVID is actually making people live longer?  It's a miracle drug?  I should try and go get COVID right now?

I kid, i kid.
"The economy has been relatively strong but Trudeau has chosen to run deficits year after year & has said will continue to do so well into the future.  This means we'll be in a worse & more vulnerable financial position when a recession hits when we HAVE to run deficits again." - Me, Oct. 3, 2019

Offline waldo

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ya, the ShadyOne tried this same Georgia state play in another thread... bubbleBurstingWaldo would have none of it!

Georgia confirms more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases in 24 hours

Quote
Everyone with more than three brain cells to rub together tried to tell dubiously elected Republican Gov. Brian Kemp that his science-free idea of reopening Georgia amidst the novel coronavirus pandemic was a terrible idea. Even strange South Carolina racist Sen. Lindsay Graham thought Kemp was moving too fast. Now, the Atlanta Journal Constitution reports that within a 24-hour span, the Peach State confirmed more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases.

On Thursday {April 30}, the Georgia Department of Public Health had a confirmed number of 26,000 cases in the state. On Friday, with 164,465 tests reportedly administered, that number has shot up to 27,023. This comes after Gov. Kemp decreed that gyms, barber shops, massage parlors, tattoo parlors, and bowling alleys could reopen today, with restaurants and theaters being allowed to reopen on Monday, May 1.

D'oh! (in a Homer Simpson voice)

Floridaís new cases actually declined by 14% compared to the previous week, and Georgiaís fell by 12%Ē between May 4 and May 11, Axios reported
https://www.mediaite.com/news/florida-and-georgia-coronavirus-cases-decline-despite-concerns-south-dakota-cases-shoot-up-2/

Welp!  Bwaaahaaaa.  Just admit that you have no idea what you're talking about.  Nor would you.

you blusteringBlowhard! You're the one running away from 2 posts in the other {Outbreak} thread - 2 posts where I've repeated challenges to you... and you have the gall to state someone... anyone... doesn't know what they're talking about! That's you azzhole... either put-up or shut your festeringGob! Should I cross-post those 2 posts in this thread? I mean, you've just done it here; posting the same thing now in 2 separate threads. C'mon lil' buddy, that gets you a ChazTimeOut on the other board - so why are you doing it here?  ;D

in any case, it's early days coming out of so-called lockdown - notwithstanding, these U.S. States have all seen increases in COVID-19 cases: Oregon, California, Arizona, South Dakota, Minnesota, Arkansas, Alabama, Kentucky, North Carolina, Delaware, and Maine. And, of course, in isolation the total cases metric doesn't speak to a respective states outbreak severity... because the total cases count is limited by the amount of testing in each state, as well as differences in reporting. Additionally presumptive state-to-state comparisons must recognize that there was no standard complement of applied 'lockdown' restrictions within respective states and not all states came out of 'lockdown' on the same date.

but hey now member Shady! Have a lookee at this most recent Florida data... coming out of 'lockdown' on May 4th... not enough points yet for a trendline, but stay tuned, hey! Okay, lil' buddy - you're up: now you do the state of Georgia!  ;D




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Offline Shady

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you blusteringBlowhard! You're the one running away from 2 posts in the other {Outbreak} thread - 2 posts where I've repeated challenges to you... and you have the gall to state someone... anyone... doesn't know what they're talking about! That's you azzhole... either put-up or shut your festeringGob! Should I cross-post those 2 posts in this thread? I mean, you've just done it here; posting the same thing now in 2 separate threads. C'mon lil' buddy, that gets you a ChazTimeOut on the other board - so why are you doing it here?  ;D

in any case, it's early days coming out of so-called lockdown - notwithstanding, these U.S. States have all seen increases in COVID-19 cases: Oregon, California, Arizona, South Dakota, Minnesota, Arkansas, Alabama, Kentucky, North Carolina, Delaware, and Maine. And, of course, in isolation the total cases metric doesn't speak to a respective states outbreak severity... because the total cases count is limited by the amount of testing in each state, as well as differences in reporting. Additionally presumptive state-to-state comparisons must recognize that there was no standard complement of applied 'lockdown' restrictions within respective states and not all states came out of 'lockdown' on the same date.

but hey now member Shady! Have a lookee at this most recent Florida data... coming out of 'lockdown' on May 4th... not enough points yet for a trendline, but stay tuned, hey! Okay, lil' buddy - you're up: now you do the state of Georgia!  ;D


Looks pretty steady to me.  Are you upset?
Anti-herd is the new anti-vaxx.

Offline waldo

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early days coming out of so-called lockdown - notwithstanding, these U.S. States have all seen increases in COVID-19 cases: Oregon, California, Arizona, South Dakota, Minnesota, Arkansas, Alabama, Kentucky, North Carolina, Delaware, and Maine. And, of course, in isolation the total cases metric doesn't speak to a respective states outbreak severity... because the total cases count is limited by the amount of testing in each state, as well as differences in reporting. Additionally presumptive state-to-state comparisons must recognize that there was no standard complement of applied 'lockdown' restrictions within respective states and not all states came out of 'lockdown' on the same date.

but hey now member Shady! Have a lookee at this most recent Florida data... coming out of 'lockdown' on May 4th... not enough points yet for a trendline, but stay tuned, hey! Okay, lil' buddy - you're up: now you do the state of Georgia!  ;D



reads like you have no problem blindly accepting a most limited data sampling - of course... that's a part of your brand! Meanwhile you ignore the fact that current estimates of the incubation period range from 1-14 days with median estimates of 5-6 days between infection and the onset of clinical symptoms of COVID-19. While you also ignore that listing of U.S. states that have increased cases... you ignore the influence testing has on case counts while also ignoring all manner of caveats concerning testing (testing methodology, type(s) of testing, number of tests, targeted testing, false negatives, etc..) - of course you ignore it all!

so instead of acknowledging the small data sample, you ignore the extended dates beyond your cited example reference... dates showing significant increases. And now... NOW... you twaddleOn about, "total cases versus active cases", when your own example offered is with respect to total cases!. Here, have another dose of Florida total cases... is that curve flattening, hey Mr. Science?  ;D


Please differentiate between total active cases vs total cases.  Total cases will never go down.  Total active cases will.  There hasn't been significant increases.  As per my cite.  There's been a 12 - 14% decrease.  perhaps you need to contact Axios and argue with them.  Bummer that cases are going down huh?  Sucks big time!

like I said, now... NOW... you shift from total to active - but you haven't the mettle to even offer any data/numbers for active cases. And you dumbPhack, the Axios data reference you initially hyped is not active cases! What a maroon, what a rube you are!  ;D

again, your peaBrain can't interpret what I've just said about your referenced link: "reads like you have no problem blindly accepting a most limited data sampling - of course... that's a part of your brand! Meanwhile you ignore the fact that current estimates of the incubation period range from 1-14 days with median estimates of 5-6 days between infection and the onset of clinical symptoms of COVID-19. While you also ignore that listing of U.S. states that have increased cases... you ignore the influence testing has on case counts while also ignoring all manner of caveats concerning testing (testing methodology, type(s) of testing, number of tests, targeted testing, false negatives, etc..) - of course you ignore it all!"

Looks pretty steady to me.  Are you upset?

ya member Shady - I'd forgotten all about your data eyeballing prowess... particularly with such small data samples!  ;D

now! Member Shady - quit posting the same shyte in multiple threads. Like I said, that gets you a ChazTimeout on the other board... so why do it here, hey?

Offline Rue

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The same reason you do it. Blustering blowhard. Lol. Coming from you. Lol. You are hilarious. Quick go get Omni to help you.
You have me mistaken with an eagle. I only come to eat your carcass.

Online Omni

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The same reason you do it. Blustering blowhard. Lol. Coming from you. Lol. You are hilarious. Quick go get Omni to help you.

Quite obvious who needs the help.  ;D You're probably better off at "redneckville"

Offline the_squid

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The same reason you do it. Blustering blowhard. Lol. Coming from you. Lol. You are hilarious. Quick go get Omni to help you.

I almost miss the times your posts were 4000 word rambling manifestos... they were actually easier to ignore.

Offline Shady

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Good news regarding the Wuhan covid-19.

The CDC just came out with a report that should be earth-shattering to the narrative of the political class, yet it will go into the thick pile of vital data and information about the virus that is not getting out to the public. For the first time, the CDC has attempted to offer a real estimate of the overall death rate for COVID-19, and under its most likely scenario, the number is 0.26%. Officials estimate a 0.4% fatality rate among those who are symptomatic and project a 35% rate of asymptomatic cases among those infected, which drops the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) to just 0.26% ó almost exactly where Stanford researchers pegged it a month ago.


https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
Anti-herd is the new anti-vaxx.
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Offline waldo

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Good news regarding the Wuhan covid-19.

 ;D ever the talking parrot!

by the by, without even bothering to look at the CDC link you offered... and your obviously gleeful interpretation of it, the CDC has been gutted by Trump - it's no longer the prestigious and recognized body it was.

but hey now, science survey says:

Scientists Say New, Lower CDC Estimates For Severity Of COVID-19 Are Optimistic

Quote
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention this week revised downward its estimates for future infections and deaths from the coronavirus, painting a picture of the pandemic that some scientists say is overly optimistic ó and that plays into fears the agency could be responding to political pressure.


Four out of seven experts consulted earlier by the Center for Public Integrity found the CDC's death rate estimates from April too low. The revised figures remain too optimistic, Harvard epidemiologist William Hanage said.

"If you're taking these numbers to be your guide, they're obviously lowball estimates," he said.

The fatality rates in the document "are certainly at the very low end" of those that scientists think possible, agreed Joseph Lewnard, an epidemiologist at the University of California, Berkeley. "Greater clarity on the scientific basis for these estimates is urgently needed."

Another expert, University of Washington biologist Carl Bergstrom, said that even the CDC's worst-case scenario is realistically a best-case scenario. The agency's worst-case fatality rate, he noted, is more optimistic than recent, high-quality coronavirus data about the death rate in Spain.

"These [CDC] numbers are so far outside of the scientific consensus that this strikes me as a devious and cynical effort to manipulate not only federal modeling but the broader scientific discourse," Bergstrom wrote on Twitter.

Online Omni

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I see Trump is threatening tyo move his upcoming convention out of NC to some state where they can jam the room full and to hell with social distancing. Texas maybe? Well in any case it can't hurt to thin out the GOP a bit. Especially the type who will risk lives just to be in a room with the idiot.

Offline Rue

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I almost miss the times your posts were 4000 word rambling manifestos... they were actually easier to ignore.

..take ritalin..itbmay help you read past two words..however J appreciate your being overwhelmed.. doesn't take much..  Omni come running! Lol.

You are hilarious with your attempts to "intimidate" Shady. Lol. More!



You have me mistaken with an eagle. I only come to eat your carcass.
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Offline Shady

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Good news.

0.4%: Is The CDCís New Estimated Case Fatality Rate
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html#box

And...

Up to 80% of COVID-19 Infections Are Asymptomatic
https://time.com/5842669/coronavirus-asymptomatic-transmission/

This new science is one of the reasons alarmists have lost their indefinite lockdown argument.
Anti-herd is the new anti-vaxx.

Offline Shady

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Also, in terms f all cases in the United States...

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Anti-herd is the new anti-vaxx.