When it comes to pickups, EV's will be pretty much limited to 1/2 tons.
Well, the most common pickup truck (actually the most popular vehicle of any type) is the Ford F150. And they are coming out with an electrified version.
3/4 and 1T trucks which do the majority of private use towing etc will continue to be gas and diesel. Diesel has 27 times the energy density of a lithium ion battery and even if the EV is 100% efficient and the diesel only 35% efficient, diesel still has 10 times the usable energy density.
I think it is all going to depend on usage patterns.
If you are towing your motorboat up to some lake in the middle of nowhere, an electric vehicle would be impractical. (Towing reduces range, probably few if any places to recharge, etc.) But how many people really do that sort of thing?
- Many pickup truck owners use their Truck more as a status symbol than a work truck. As such, they may never actually tow anything, and trips may be restricted to more urban areas (i.e. always within range of a charger). My parents were like that... they had a Chevy S10. Mostly used as the family 'second vehicle'.
- Many work trucks will be used only within a city, often for short trips too and from a work site (after which the Truck might sit idle most of the work day). Basically the Truck use is: load up the needed tools in the morning/hitch your trailer, drive to a construction site, unload the vehicle, do your work for the day, then load it up to bring everything home for the evening, when you can plug it in again.
No doubt technology will bring future improvements and efficiencies but the fact remains, the targets governments are setting for EV sales are not attainable with present technology.
Yes, but the targets are far enough out that technology should be able to keep pace.
Should also be noted that the 'targets' themselves are pretty... empty. Biden said he wants a 50-50 split between gas/electric vehicles, but there is no penalty if car companies fail to meet the target.