I don't know so much. Why would the Weather Network lie to me?
Somewhere between 10 and 70%? Well, I had not seen the official revised numbers but that explains why they were willing to be civil. They did the math and figured they can still get their catastrophe
****.
And that does not take into account that this is just one study with a different way to doing a calculation that may or may not be better than prior estimates. When the same thing can be measured in a many different ways you can't assume the latest way to do it is necessarily better.