Author Topic: Climate Change  (Read 28722 times)

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Offline TimG

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Re: Climate Change
« Reply #915 on: December 09, 2019, 09:27:26 pm »
The only time preventive action is not necessitated is when something is BOTH unlikely to occur and has low consequences.
The table does not apply to the climate change because it is simply not possible to make any claim about the likelihood of major consequences from climate change. To illustrate the problem look at tobacco: we can quantify the risk of developing cancer from smoking because we have the experience of millions of smokers to use as a basis for calculation which means the result of the calculations is very credible. No such equivalent exists with the alleged consequences of climate change because these consequences have never occurred before. Making a claim about climate change today would be like someone making a claim that smoking causes cancer based on rat testing before anyone ever actually developed cancer. The rat testing would be sufficient to argue that there is a concern but it would NOT be sufficient to make the claim that cancer is a likely outcome of smoking.
« Last Edit: December 09, 2019, 09:38:05 pm by TimG »
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