Author Topic: Climate Change  (Read 6550 times)

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Offline Gorgeous Graham

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Re: Climate Change
« Reply #885 on: November 30, 2019, 12:21:59 pm »
I know my predictions of a specific player 3 years out are subject to a lot of variables, and 6 years out even more. I can say however with absolute certainty that if I keep the current team for 20 years I will be losing a lot of games.

Weather ≠ Climate

My point is that we can have high probability of certainty that the earth will keep warming throughout the century, though because of a massive # of variables we won't know precisely by how much science can predict a general range +/- a certain amount, as shown in all the models and IPCC reports.  There are also a lot of interacting variables in how this warming will affect different species and ecosystems so it's impossible for science to predict exactly how CC will affect the earth but science can take educated guesses on how it will will varying degrees of probability/certainty, as also seen in the IPCC reports.

My other point was that this is also how predicting weather works.  We don't know with 100% certainty if it's going to rain 4 days from now but they always will post the P.O.P. (probability of precipitation) based on an educated guess using computer models.  Obviously climate and weather models are vastly different but the basic methodology is similar.  It's all based on gathering as much data on as many interacting variables as possible and calculating probabilities of future outcomes.
"The economy has been relatively strong but Trudeau has chosen to run deficits year after year & has said will continue to do so well into the future.  This means we'll be in a worse & more vulnerable financial position when a recession hits when we HAVE to run deficits again." - Me, Oct. 3, 2019