Author Topic: Polling isn't getting worse  (Read 325 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Michael Hardner

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12477
Re: Polling isn't getting worse
« Reply #15 on: December 29, 2020, 01:13:33 pm »
1. The problem is that people are less willing to pollsters their voting intentions.  Thus, polls have become increasingly inaccurate. 

2. Some polls were off by 10+ points in the recent presidential election.  Some Republican senators didn't lead a single poll up to election day ended up winning by 8+ points.  Some polls had Trump down 5-8 points in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania etc.  He ended up losing by 0.5%. 

3. When polls are off by that much, in one direction, they're tantamount to voter suppression.  But that kind of voter suppression the Libs don't care about.  Because it works in their favour.

1. Yes, but inaccuracy doesn't necessarily follow.
2. Republicans over-performed from what they were polled at.
3. It doesn't seem to have worked in their favour though.  It seems odd for us to say "Republicans ignore polls" and yet say they're supressed.  But the main conclusion is we need to take a hard look at polls and figure out how to fix them.  We do need polling and some people got it right.