I'm not going to tell you I told you so. But I just did lol
I don't remember discussing this with you but no matter. My views on this have changed 180 degrees. I was partially swayed by the type of person Nate Silver maps to, ie. liberal rationalist and as such I am no better than some Iowan fooled by Trump. In my defense I have now changed. In his defense, he hasn't come through with a final analysis yet. Let's see if he changes his tune on what his model really provides.
I enjoy being wrong. The world becomes very interesting when you have a bunch of things to learn and review.