Author Topic: Hurricane Irma - The Strongest Ever Recorded in the Atlantic  (Read 342 times)

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Offline TimG

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shocking that you favour a blog that speaks to your, as you say, "agenda"! Shocking...
If a desire for an honest representation of uncertainties is an 'agenda' then guilty as charged....

notwithstanding it's a big global ocean network... more than just your focus on the Atlantic basin; see wind shear and cooler near-coastal water:
Alarmists frequently publish 'post hoc rationalization' papers designed to explain away any difference between the real world and their over heated predictions. Many are nonsense but they feed the propaganda machine.

Cyclone counts are one measure of storm activity. Another is the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) which show ZERO evidence of any trend despite the warming SST:

[1] Tropical cyclone accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) has exhibited strikingly large global interannual variability during the past 40-years. In the pentad since 2006, Northern Hemisphere and global tropical cyclone ACE has decreased dramatically to the lowest levels since the late 1970s. Additionally, the global frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low. Here evidence is presented demonstrating that considerable variability in tropical cyclone ACE is associated with the evolution of the character of observed large-scale climate mechanisms including the El Niņo Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation. In contrast to record quiet North Pacific tropical cyclone activity in 2010, the North Atlantic basin remained very active by contributing almost one-third of the overall calendar year global ACE.