Author Topic: No llores por mí Alberta  (Read 34730 times)

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Offline waldo

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #825 on: December 05, 2020, 11:36:23 pm »
Trevor Tombe - Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Calgary and a Research Fellow at The School of Public Policy:



so... clearly, Alberta Premier Jason Kenney/UCP haven't quite found that sweet-spot between half-assed measures to handle the pandemic and mitigating economic impact (in terms of lost jobs) - go figure!
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Offline waldo

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #826 on: December 12, 2020, 10:08:30 pm »

Offline waldo

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #827 on: June 09, 2021, 06:04:42 pm »
Keystone XL is dead, and Albertans are on the hook for $1.3B --- Province and TC Energy announced the termination of the pipeline on Wednesday

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The final cost to Albertans for the Keystone XL pipeline will be about $1.3 billion as the provincial government and TC Energy announced the official termination of the project Wednesday.

"We invested in Keystone XL because of the long-term economic benefits it would have provided Albertans and Canadians," said Energy Minister Sonya Savage in a news release.

The Alberta government agreed last year to invest about $1.5 billion as equity in the project, plus billions more in loan guarantees in order to get the pipeline moving.

As a result, the Canadian leg of the project had been under construction for several months with around 1,000 workers in southeast Alberta.

If completed, the 1,897-kilometre pipeline, first announced in 2005, would have carried 830,000 barrels of crude a day from the oilsands in Hardisty, Alta., to Nebraska. It would then connect with the original Keystone that runs to U.S. refineries on the Gulf Coast.

from a TC Energy news release:

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Construction activities to advance the Project were suspended following the revocation of its Presidential Permit on January 20, 2021. The Company will continue to coordinate with regulators, stakeholders and Indigenous groups to meet its environmental and regulatory commitments and ensure a safe termination of and exit from the Project.
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Looking forward, there is tremendous opportunity for TC Energy in the energy transition with its irreplaceable asset footprint, financial strength and organizational capabilities positioning it to capture further significant and compelling growth. The Company will continue to build on its 70-year history of success and leverage its diverse businesses in natural gas and liquids transportation along with storage and power generation to continue to meet the growing and evolving demand for energy across the continent.


This 'Bitumen Boondoggle' is costing Alberta taxpayers billions --- the province's backing of the Sturgeon Refinery has saddled Albertans with a $26.4-billion liability.

Quote from: Andrew Leach - energy and environmental economist at the University of Alberta.
So, what's the end result of all this? The Alberta government is expecting to pay $26.4 billion over 30 years to refine bitumen into diesel, gas, oil and small volumes of other products; an average refining toll of over $73 per barrel of bitumen processed.

With the increase to $73 per barrel tolls, the refinery will only be profitable in periods when pipelines are substantially constrained, as they were in 2017 and 2018. With new pipelines under construction, and slow-to-non-existent oilsands production growth, that seems unlikely to be the case for many years. It's much more likely that we'll be losing money on every barrel.

So, in a sense, the Sturgeon Refinery contract is a multibillion-dollar bet against pipelines getting built. It's worth noting that by investing in the Keystone XL pipeline, the Alberta government also has a multibillion-dollar direct bet on that pipeline getting built, so we're now guaranteed to lose billions on at least one major government industrial policy bet. Fantastic.

We can't predict the future of the oil market, and pipelines like KXL are no sure thing, so it's possible that the refinery will still end up in-the-money if we see a combination of high oil product prices and low bitumen values in the future.

But even if that proves to be the case, Albertans should remember that we're paying more than $7 billion more than we should have for this refinery, and that those dollars are going to fund a return to a private entity that failed to live up to its side of a bargain with Albertans.

Offline wilber

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #828 on: June 09, 2021, 08:30:19 pm »
Better get that TMX built. Just shows that relying on other countries for pipelines is a big mistake.
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Offline Queefer Sutherland

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #829 on: June 09, 2021, 09:30:59 pm »
At this point Alberta needs to dig a hole under BC and pop their pipeline out in the Atlantic
"Nipples is one of the great minds of our time!" - Bubbermiley
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Offline wilber

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #830 on: June 09, 2021, 09:54:53 pm »
At this point Alberta needs to dig a hole under BC and pop their pipeline out in the Atlantic

Atlantic?
"Never trust a man without a single redeeming vice" WSC
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Offline waldo

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #831 on: June 10, 2021, 12:49:29 am »
Alberta equalization referendum will have no bearing on Constitution

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Legal and economic experts say there's virtually no chance Alberta's planned referendum on equalization will result in changes to Canada's Constitution.

Instead, they say Jason Kenney's United Conservative Party government is using equalization as a pinata for broader economic grievances with the federal government.

"It is about mobilizing an angry political base motivated by an idea that the government of Alberta thinks is in its interest, which is that Ottawa has been unfair to Albertans, and that there is somebody to blame for economic downturn, and there is someone to blame for the movement away from the carbon-based energy industry," said Eric Adams, a constitutional law expert and University of Alberta professor.

On Monday, Premier Jason Kenney said he will put a proposed referendum question on equalization before the Alberta legislature, while aiming to run the referendum in concert with October municipal elections.




so the pandemic delayed the report delivery a tad; but, of course, there was never any doubt what the panel would ultimately deliver. Notwithstanding actual recent polls of Albertans countering many of the recommendations of the so-called "Fair Deal Panel", the charade undertaking delivered the report, delivered what justVisitingJason/UCP wanted:

and right off the mark after the release of the report, Kenney has rushed to the forefront to continue to stoke the so-called, "rhetorical seeds of Alberta discontent... the separatist fires with the/a key driver Wexiteer's play on" - equalization... with Kenney promising a... uhhh... referendum for Albertans to vote on supporting the removal of Section 36 from the Constitution. Somehow, Kenney has failed to advise Albertans that it was Harper Conservatives who were responsible for the current equalization rules... that he, justVisitingJason, was a part of the Harper Cabinet that brought in today's current equalization rules - go figure!

as a part of the official Alberta UCP government response to the report, the related reference to the intended referendum:



again, a couple of doses of reality for Kenney and Albertans predisposed to the Kenney/UCP bullshyte:

=> Why Jason Kenney's proposed referendum is so puzzling --- Holding a constitutional referendum to end equalization wouldn't actually benefit Alberta. Here's how equalization actually works:

=> Why equalization is not unfair to Alberta

Offline Queefer Sutherland

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #832 on: June 10, 2021, 02:34:33 pm »
Atlantic?

Sorry meant Indian Ocean.
"Nipples is one of the great minds of our time!" - Bubbermiley
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Offline wilber

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #833 on: June 10, 2021, 02:48:16 pm »
India is planning on doubling refining capacity in the next five years so the Indian Ocean might be a good bet.
"Never trust a man without a single redeeming vice" WSC

Offline waldo

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #834 on: June 27, 2021, 02:39:24 pm »
Quote from: UofC Economist Trevor Tombe
Today, each $1 per barrel change in oil prices (sustained over a year) is worth roughly a quarter of a billion dollars to the {Alberta} government's bottom line.

Each day that prices remain at their current level means roughly $10 to $15 million more in government revenue than was planned for. Looking out over the current year, Alberta could see revenues increase by as much as $5 to $6 billion. So a projected $18 billion deficit this year may come in at $12 billion instead.

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Offline wilber

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #835 on: June 30, 2021, 11:17:48 am »
More tax revenues for Ottawa as well.
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Offline waldo

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #836 on: July 09, 2021, 12:56:20 pm »
just days ago in Calgary, PM Trudeau responds to a question on Alberta Premier Jason Kenney’s plan to hold a referendum on equalization payments - stating that Kenney is in the best position to explain the concerns he has with his {Kenney's} 'younger-self' who, as a Harper Cabinet member,  helped to negotiate, structure and bring in the current equalization formula used today:


Offline waldo

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #837 on: July 27, 2021, 01:19:03 pm »
if only there was an urban-cowboy to swat back at those eastern bastardo's demeaning the mighty pickup... if only!



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We’ve mocked — for years! — in this province people in downtown Calgary or downtown Edmonton who have $70,000 trucks and don’t actually use them for anything except driving,” says Duane Bratt, a political scientist at Calgary’s Mount Royal University.

“This is not an attack on construction workers or hunters or people who drive around with hockey gear in their trucks,” he says. “It’s those that have an empty cargo, all the time.”

“It just took someone from Toronto to point that out to really offend the province.”

Kenney, a former federal minister, has worked hard to present himself as an advocate for rural Alberta and traditional industries such as oil and gas. And he’s often adopted the stereotypical Albertan attire: He’s usually seen at events in jeans, checked shirts and the odd cowboy hat — and driving a truck.

Part of his public indignation could be rooted in Kenney’s commitment to the blue truck.


Offline wilber

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #838 on: July 27, 2021, 02:59:55 pm »
Like it or not, pickup trucks are incredibly useful vehicles. The newer ones have the room and comfort for five of a nice sedan and can haul and tow most things a suburb dweller will ever need.
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Offline Squidward von Squidderson

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Re: No llores por mí Alberta
« Reply #839 on: July 27, 2021, 04:25:55 pm »
Like it or not, pickup trucks are incredibly useful vehicles. The newer ones have the room and comfort for five of a nice sedan and can haul and tow most things a suburb dweller will ever need.

I wish we had ‘utes’ in Canada like they do in Australia.