338 polling election result analysis: the East-West 'divide' is nothing new... but the most significant 2019 result is one that highlights another division - an urban versus rural divide!
in terms of voting efficiency:
=> the Scheer/CPC 2015-to-2019 vote share increase was, "
not at all uniform and, more importantly, did not occur where it was needed".
=> Scheer/CPC increased their vote share in 194 of 338 electoral districts (57%)... but lost ground compared to 2015 in the remaining 144 districts (43%). More pointedly, "
out of those 144 districts where the Conservatives lost ground, no fewer than 139 are in Quebec and Ontario. The remaining five are located in B.C.’s Lower Mainland."
=> Quebec and Ontario hold 199 federal electoral districts - compared to 2015, Scheer/CPC lost ground in 70% of districts in the two most populous provinces in the country... 139 of the 199 districts (70%).
=>
among the 60 electoral districts with the highest population density in Canada, Scheer/CPC won a grand total of zero of them (Liberals 50, NDP 8, BQ 1, IND 1); as below:
now this urban/rural divide was a known entity within the Scheer/CPC internal party polling - a clear indication of a likely defeat... and yet, it didn't stop weak Andy & lil' Hamish, till the very end, chest pumping, projecting a win... a majority win no less, and all but pronouncing himself Prime Minister in waiting for the final results!