Philippe J. Fournier - 338Canada => analysis on the recent days Mainstreet Poll (a polling sample described as representative of the CPC Conservative membership itself):
Peter MacKay's uncomfortable lead: Short of a massive first-ballot lead, Peter Mackay is vulnerable and, without support from social conservatives, could lose the leadership
to win, to reach the 50% threshold level, Peter MacKay may be hooped based on second choice candidate selections of those CPC members polled... allowing Erin O'Tool to ultimately claim the crown as respective candidates are iteratively removed!