Author Topic: BACK TO WORK!! It’s just killing old farts  (Read 7041 times)

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Offline waldo

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Re: BACK TO WORK!! It’s just killing old farts
« Reply #330 on: June 10, 2020, 11:40:09 am »
Do these lives matter at all?  Just wondering.  Or is it just covid deaths that people care about?

The life and death COVID-19 curve no one is talking aboutAs Canada works to flatten the coronavirus curve, the combination of anxiety, economic insecurity and isolation has mental health experts concerned that suicide rates in the country could be headed in the opposite direction.
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2020/06/10/the-life-and-death-covid-19-curve-no-one-is-talking-about.html

accepting that the study's co-author acknowledged their simplistic approach in linking suicide to a single social factor - unemployment... let the waldo offer you a graphic from that study. Note: the study does NOT factor any manner of "preventative" mitigation; say, like... "wage subsidies, forbearance on financial obligation, government support of small business, work retraining programs, access to community-based support programs, etc.."

member Shady, at the extreme 'worst case' scenario in your referenced study, will YOU offer comparative comment in regards an additional 2114 suicides (across the entire breadth of Canada) versus lives saved as a result of shutdown measures... will YOU, member Shady?



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member Shady... a sweetener for you - you're welcome:

Coronavirus shutdowns prevented 60 million infections in the USA

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Researchers found the USA may have been able to avoid an additional 4.8 million confirmed coronavirus cases, which translates to about 60 million more infections, as a result of statewide lockdowns and mandated social distancing restrictions, according to the report published in the peer-reviewed scientific journal Nature.

Infections were much higher than confirmed cases, they argued, because many people didn't have access to a coronavirus test or didn't go to their doctors to obtain one. The study documented changes in testing procedures and availability, as well as differences in case detection across the country.

The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic

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Abstract

Governments around the world are responding to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic1 with unprecedented policies designed to slow the growth rate of infections. Many actions, such as closing schools and restricting populations to their homes, impose large and visible costs on society, but their benefits cannot be directly observed and are currently understood only through process-based simulations2–4. Here, we compile new data on 1,717 local, regional, and national non-pharmaceutical interventions deployed in the ongoing pandemic across localities in China, South Korea, Italy, Iran, France, and the United States (US). We then apply reduced-form econometric methods, commonly used to measure the effect of policies on economic growth5,6, to empirically evaluate the effect that these anti-contagion policies have had on the growth rate of infections. In the absence of policy actions, we estimate that early infections of COVID-19 exhibit exponential growth rates of roughly 38% per day. We find that anti-contagion policies have significantly and substantially slowed this growth. Some policies have different impacts on different populations, but we obtain consistent evidence that the policy packages now deployed are achieving large, beneficial, and measurable health outcomes. We estimate that across these six countries, interventions prevented or delayed on the order of 62 million confirmed cases, corresponding to averting roughly 530 million total infections. These findings may help inform whether or when these policies should be deployed, intensified, or lifted, and they can support decision-making in the other 180+ countries where COVID-19 has been reported7.