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538 still says 80% chance of Democrats taking congress.

538 said Hillary had 70% chance of winning. We know how that turned out...

And... 70% chance is not 100%.

Just as probabilities work. I remind you, she won the popular vote, which is what polling is based upon.

538 does the presidential probability distribution based on a electoral college model so the 70% was the chance of winning the college. They said there was a chance that Hillary would win the popular vote but lose the college. That is how it turned out. The dems could easily lose these midterms. Over confidence is what did Hillary in (too many Dems staying home).

What is your point?

No, they say 80% of Dems taking the House of Reps. Only 32% change of Dems taking the Senate because the majority of Senate seats aren't up for election because the House has elections every 2 years while Senators serve for 6 years, so the Senator elections are staggered.

I really, really, really, really, really, really really hope Democrats take at least the House of Reps on Tues.