Canadian Politics Today

Some polling information...

Granted, a lot can change between now and the 2024 election. (And we still don't know if Stubby Mcbonespurs will be running, or instead spending time in court or better yet prison). But in various head-to-head matchups:

From: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

Oct 11: Desantis beats Newsom by 2
Sep 7: Harris beats Desantis by 3
Sep 7: Biden beats Desantis by 5
Aug 31: Biden beats Desantis by 5
Aug 19: Biden beats Desantis by 23
Aug 18: Biden beats Desantis by between 1 and 21 points (depending on the poll)
July 28: Biden beats Desantis by between 3 and 4 points (depending on the poll)
July 27: Harris beats Desantis by 1

(The dates are for the start date of the polls)

So the only person Desantis could in theory beat at this time is Newsom (Gov. of California), who at this time doesn't seem to have a very big national profile. He loses to Biden in every poll going back to mid-summer (despite the fact that Biden's approval rating is below 50%). He even loses to Harris (who is widely seen as a disappointment as VP.)