Author Topic: Electoral College Predictions !  (Read 2340 times)

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Offline JMT

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #60 on: October 27, 2020, 06:03:48 pm »
I don't agree.  I think there's good and bad in each.

If you look at the list of successful democracies it is dominated by constitutional monarchies (Westminster and similar - Canada, UK, Denmark, Spain, Australia, Norway, etc) and parliamentary republics (Germany, Italy, Israel, Finland, Iceland, etc). Presidential (USA) and semi presidential (France) systems are a rare occurrence on the list despite making up not insignificant portions of the world's countries.


Offline Montgomery

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #61 on: October 27, 2020, 06:12:00 pm »
If you look at the list of successful democracies it is dominated by constitutional monarchies (Westminster and similar - Canada, UK, Denmark, Spain, Australia, Norway, etc) and parliamentary republics (Germany, Italy, Israel, Finland, Iceland, etc). Presidential (USA) and semi presidential (France) systems are a rare occurrence on the list despite making up not insignificant portions of the world's countries.

It's turned out that the US system alone is the perfect recipe for failure. It's doubtful they will ever be able to withdraw their flags from their **** long enough to change it to something that has a chance of success.

We musn't be too gentle with them when they're on the brink of becoming another fascist regime that will be more consistent with their foreign policy of wars and more wars, since the end of WW2.

If not now being the time to call the spades, then soon!

Let's make it before either they or their favourite apartheid regime decides to use nuclear weapons in Iran!
It was believed afterward that the man was a lunatic, because there was no sense in what he said. ~M.T.

Offline JMT

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #62 on: October 27, 2020, 06:33:46 pm »
Sorry for the derail MH.
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Offline Queefer Sutherland

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #63 on: October 27, 2020, 06:36:34 pm »
If you look at the list of successful democracies it is dominated by constitutional monarchies (Westminster and similar - Canada, UK, Denmark, Spain, Australia, Norway, etc) and parliamentary republics (Germany, Italy, Israel, Finland, Iceland, etc). Presidential (USA) and semi presidential (France) systems are a rare occurrence on the list despite making up not insignificant portions of the world's countries.

You can't compare Denmark to Mexico or some African " democratic republic".  There's a lot of other variables going on there besides political system.
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Offline JMT

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #64 on: October 27, 2020, 06:51:49 pm »
You can't compare Denmark to Mexico or some African " democratic republic".  There's a lot of other variables going on there besides political system.

You can't separate a country from the political system that they've chosen, either.

Offline Michael Hardner

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #65 on: October 27, 2020, 07:23:09 pm »
Sorry for the derail MH.

S'ok

Please note I have cut/pasted predictions into the first post on this thread.
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Offline Queefer Sutherland

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #66 on: October 27, 2020, 08:29:58 pm »
You can't separate a country from the political system that they've chosen, either.

Healthy democracies virtually never occur in developing countries no matter the system.  There's parliamentary systems in the developing world that are rife with corruption.
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Offline JMT

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #67 on: October 27, 2020, 08:50:51 pm »
Healthy democracies virtually never occur in developing countries no matter the system. 

And they almost never occur in countries with a powerful chief executive. That's kind of the point.

Offline Montgomery

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #68 on: October 28, 2020, 01:00:28 pm »
And they almost never occur in countries with a powerful chief executive. That's kind of the point.

Is that a good reason for Venezuela's failure? And if not, then is it a good reason for some other country's failure? How about Cuba when it was still failing?

I like Venezuela so are you correct about Hugo Chavez who rose to power by taking the side of the poor people in his country, which necessitated his turn to socialist policy on his country's oil resources?

Not so fast JMT!
It was believed afterward that the man was a lunatic, because there was no sense in what he said. ~M.T.

Offline waldo

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #69 on: November 02, 2020, 12:17:13 am »
Biden 348: Trumpy 190


Offline Montgomery

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #70 on: November 02, 2020, 10:11:07 am »
We're probably in for a pretty boring next 36 hours or so, while the clean their guns, sort out their different ammunition, and dig up their large capacity magazines from the potato gardens.

It's worth the wait.
It was believed afterward that the man was a lunatic, because there was no sense in what he said. ~M.T.
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Offline Squidward von Squidderson

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #71 on: November 02, 2020, 09:01:01 pm »
Chance Trump wins in a landslide - <1%

Chance Biden wins in a landslide - 29%

Five thirty eight.com
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guest78

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #72 on: November 02, 2020, 09:22:39 pm »
Chance Trump wins in a landslide - <1%

Chance Biden wins in a landslide - 29%

Five thirty eight.com
How’s that different from their 2016 predictions?
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guest78

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #73 on: November 02, 2020, 09:23:10 pm »
Biden 348: Trumpy 190


Sounds very 2016-ish to me!
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Offline BC_cheque

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #74 on: November 02, 2020, 10:22:10 pm »
How’s that different from their 2016 predictions?

His chances in 2016 were about the same as an obese drug-addict who gorges on fast food overcoming COVID.  Not impossible but surprising.

Without getting all mathy and stuff... his chances are even less this time around.  But I concede, it's not literally zero.
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