Author Topic: Electoral College Predictions !  (Read 878 times)

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Offline waldo

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #30 on: October 27, 2020, 11:30:49 am »
Yes the court could be a factor.  Democrats will be resigned to follow existing law.  The court had been remarkably consistent.  Theyíre not going to overturn state law while an election is in progress.  In Pennsylvania, that resulted in what Democrats wanted.  In Wisconsin, it didnít.

election rules... not laws! In the case of Wisconsin, a lower-court ruling, in consideration of Covid-19 impacting upon voters wanting to mail-in their votes to avoid long election day lineups, had granted an extension to allow the monumental number of mail-in votes to be counted. The Kavanaugh concurring opinion wiped that out - cause... bananaRepublic!
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Offline Shady

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #31 on: October 27, 2020, 11:45:31 am »
election rules... not laws! In the case of Wisconsin, a lower-court ruling, in consideration of Covid-19 impacting upon voters wanting to mail-in their votes to avoid long election day lineups, had granted an extension to allow the monumental number of mail-in votes to be counted. The Kavanaugh concurring opinion wiped that out - cause... bananaRepublic!
Complete nonsense.  The court took the same position in Pennsylvania, not interfering with an existing election and not overturning state law.  In the case of Pennsylvania is worked out for Democrats.  It didn't in Wisconsin.  Blame legislators for having half a year to make law resolving all of these issues, and not doing so.
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Offline MH

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #32 on: October 27, 2020, 11:45:57 am »
waldo - if you insist on posting all over my predictions thread, would you do me the favour of quoting all the predictions in one post so we don't have to scroll everywhere to check 'em election night ??
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Offline Shady

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #33 on: October 27, 2020, 12:29:37 pm »
Iíd like to amend my prediction based on new data.  Trump 278, Biden 254.
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Offline waldo

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #34 on: October 27, 2020, 12:30:58 pm »
waldo - if you insist on posting all over my predictions thread, would you do me the favour of quoting all the predictions in one post so we don't have to scroll everywhere to check 'em election night ??

wait, what? Not only did I post betting odd 'predictions', but hey now... I posted following the theme predicting judicial review/settlement of said electoral count! Are you that naive to consider the election day count may not stand the test of court challenges? Of what use is YOUR apparent desire to have prediction count numbers that may be over-turned? Of what use is your limited, narrow-focused thread?
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Offline JMT

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #35 on: October 27, 2020, 12:32:26 pm »
Biden will get somewhere between 350 and 400 electoral votes. I'm not willing to make a prediction.

Offline waldo

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #36 on: October 27, 2020, 12:33:17 pm »
Iím going Trump 276, Biden 262.
Iíd like to amend my prediction based on new data.  Trump 278, Biden 254.

scintillating!  ;D
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Offline MH

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #37 on: October 27, 2020, 12:40:59 pm »
  Of what use is your limited, narrow-focused thread?

Its use is that it is limited and narrow-focused.  We already have more than enough election threads.

I plan to refer to this on election night and see whose dart got closest to the bullseye.

Offline waldo

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #38 on: October 27, 2020, 12:54:11 pm »
Its use is that it is limited and narrow-focused.

Of what use is YOUR apparent desire to have prediction count numbers that may be over-turned?

Hardners, 'myWay'... or noWay  ;D
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Offline MH

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #39 on: October 27, 2020, 01:04:52 pm »
Someone has to pick up the litter...

Anyway, I am not going to moderate this thread for on-topic, lest I piss off one of my fave posters here so have at it.

If nobody does a summary of the predictions at the end, I will do so...

Offline Montgomery

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #40 on: October 27, 2020, 01:24:40 pm »
On a positive note, if Biden looks like the winner on election day, the outstanding ballots will leave enough doubt in everybody's minds that it could turn over before it's decided. The positive point I'm making is that the extreme right won't turn to violence in the streets with their guns until they know they have an issue that warrants blood running in the streets.

So intead of a positive loss that they would be able to act upon, they will almost assuredly be faced with an undecided situation and that will have the power to defuse them temporarily. That would likely take the wind out of their sails and then defuse them permanently.

Disappointing unless Trump is faced with a convincing loss and then the extreme right will almost certainly start the murdering.
It was believed afterward that the man was a lunatic, because there was no sense in what he said. ~M.T.
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Offline Shady

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #41 on: October 27, 2020, 01:58:58 pm »
On a positive note, if Biden looks like the winner on election day, the outstanding ballots will leave enough doubt in everybody's minds that it could turn over before it's decided. The positive point I'm making is that the extreme right won't turn to violence in the streets with their guns until they know they have an issue that warrants blood running in the streets.

So intead of a positive loss that they would be able to act upon, they will almost assuredly be faced with an undecided situation and that will have the power to defuse them temporarily. That would likely take the wind out of their sails and then defuse them permanently.

Disappointing unless Trump is faced with a convincing loss and then the extreme right will almost certainly start the murdering.
This also isnít an electoral college prediction. 
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Offline Montgomery

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #42 on: October 27, 2020, 02:06:49 pm »
This also isnít an electoral college prediction.

It's what I choose to make it shady and that's because this board has hashed and rehashed to issues so many times over that it's become meaningless.

There's real meaning in the prospect of an undecided US on November 4th. because it will temporarily defuse those rightist who are determined to turn to gun violence if Trump loses. The voilence will be much harder to promote if the decision only comes in drips and drabs.

If you want to discuss that, fill your boots. If you don't then find somebody else to hound.
It was believed afterward that the man was a lunatic, because there was no sense in what he said. ~M.T.

Offline MH

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #43 on: October 27, 2020, 02:29:34 pm »
I am cutting/pasting your guesses into the OP.

I took Nov 4th off for this !  ;D

Offline Gorgeous Graham

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Re: Electoral College Predictions !
« Reply #44 on: October 27, 2020, 02:35:24 pm »
I predict the results will be indefinitely disputed and we will never agree on the true winner.
I can tell how good of a person you are by how you treat the people you disagree with.